People

Without good health it is difficult to live our lives the way we would like to. Improving health and wellbeing is a shared responsibility. Individuals can make changes to the way they live their lives and support family and friends to do the same.

Council, along with State and Federal governments and other community organisations, have important roles to play in improving the health and wellbeing of Warrnambool’s people. These community partners can create healthy environments for people to live/work/play/visit; develop policies and programs which support the community; strengthen the capacity of individuals, and provide services and facilities which promote, protect and encourage good outcomes.

Warrnambool's Population - Then, Now and in the Future

In the 20 years since 1996 Warrnambool’s population has grown by 25% - from around 28,000 people to more than 35,000 people.  This population growth has been matched with an increase of 1228 new dwellings (9.6% increase in residential properties).

The average age of residents has increased from 36 years to 38 years (2006-2011); reflecting the ageing of the baby boomer generation (those over 50 years) in the city.

Lone person households (+352), couples without children (+280) and one parent families (+124) have all increased; while the proportion of group households has decreased slightly.

In the coming 20 years between 2017 and 2036, Warrnambool’s population is expected to grow by around 12,000 people.This is equivalent to adding a town the size of Colac, or Port Fairy, Mortlake, Terang and Camperdown combined to Warrnambool’s current population.

The most recent population forecast (prepared by id.com in September 2015) shows that the fastest growing age group is people over 60 years. The number of baby-boomer retirees and older residents will increase by around 4,000 to be 12,000 people to represent 25% of the total population by 2036.

Warrnambool’s Population change: 1996 – 2036

THEN 19961

NOW
 2017
2

FUTURE 20362

CHANGE 2017 - 2036

TOTAL POPULATION

27,164

35,256

 

46,762

11,506

Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)

2,104

2,304

3,095

791

Primary schoolers (5 to 11)

2,855

3,151

4,390

1,239

Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)

2,330

2,681

3,656

976

Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)

3,325

3,525

4,204

679

Young workforce (25 to 34)

3,955

4,384

5,430

1,046

Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)

5,721

6,566

8,623

2,057

Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)

2,325

4,416

5,362

946

Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)

1,966

3,839

4,894

1,054

Seniors (70 to 84)

2,225

3,448

5,605

2,157

Elderly aged (85 and over)

355

942

1,502

560

  1. ABS Census 1996 - http://profile.id.com.au/warrnambool/
  2. Population Forecast 2036- http://forecast.id.com.au/warrnambool/population-age-structure?AgeTypeKey=3

Unlike many regional and rural areas of Victoria, Warrnambool is forecast to continue to grow in population.Other municipalities in south west Victoria are expected to remain the same or decline over the next 20 years.

What is going well in Warrnambool?

  • 50% residents report their health is excellent or very good
  • Proportion of residents living a sedentary lifestyle has halved (5.3% in 2008 to 2.4% in 2014)
  • 2 in 3 residents are doing enough exercise and the proportion is increasing
  • 1 in 3 men participate in organised sport (vs Vic 1 in 8) – highest rate in Victoria.
  • 1 in 2 residents are eating enough fruit (increased from 43% in 2008 to 58% in 2014)
  • Civic participation (attendance at meetings, signed petition, contacted councillor) has increased from 58% to 63% (2007-2011)
  • 1 in 2 people volunteer more than once a month (1 in 3 for Victoria).
  • Smoking has reduced to 1 in every 10 people (halved from 1 in 5 in 2008)

What needs Improvement in Warrnambool?

  • 1 in 3 residents report poor health
  • 1 in 3 residents are overweight; 1 in 5 are obese
  • Only 1 in 10 residents eat enough vegetables (5+ serves each day)
  • 13% drink soft drink daily
  • Residents are more likely to have an increased risk of lifetime harm from alcohol (71.8%) than Victoria (59.2%)
  • Proportion residents seeking help for mental health issues is highest in Vic (31.8 people per 1000)
  • Limited cultural diversity (6.9 % residents born overseas compared to 26.2% Victoria & 10.6% Regional Victoria)
  • Proportion of children considered vulnerable on two or more measures when starting school has increased to 8%.
  • Family violence incidents reported to police increasing (up from 12.2 to 18.9 per 1000 people)
  • Household income is 20% less than the Victorian state average
  • Providing Community and recreation infrastructure to meet the needs of the region - childcare centres, kindergartens, recreation facilities etc.